New Orleans has repeatedly burned its backers lately as a favorite of more than a touchdown, going 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when laying -7.5 or higher. The Saints are 7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS at home over the last season-plus. Three weeks ago, New Orleans lost at Las Vegas 34-24, but the Saints out-gained the Raiders, too. This season, the Chargers have forced an average of 0.8 turnovers per game, equal to the 0.8 times Saints have turned the football over in each contest. New Orleans doesn't quite look like the team that won 13 games last season; they might miss Thomas. © 2020 Sports Betting Stats - Picks - Odds - Handicapping All rights reserved. Chargers games average 44.5 points per game, 7.5 points less than the over/under for this contest. NFL Betting Odds. If not, I would look to the Chargers team total under 21.5, as they’ve topped 20 points only once this season and needed three touchdowns of 50 or more yards. Rookie quarterback Justin Herbert and the Chargers gave Tom Brady’s Buccaneers a run for their money last week but fell just short. The Saints pick up 5.9 yards per play while the Chargers allow 5.7 per play. Ekeler’s absence puts even more pressure on rookie QB Justin Herbert, who was already playing without wideout Mike Williams and two of his starting linemen on Sunday. 8-ranked offense in DVOA has the edge over the Chargers’ 20th-rated defensive unit. In one game this season, the Chargers have combined with their opponents to go over 52 points. Getty Images. The Chargers haven’t been able to provide Herbert with much of a run game, ranking 27th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA. Saints games average 61.5 total points per game this season, 9.5 points higher than this over/under. In games where they don’t turn the football over this season, New Orleans is 1-0 overall and 1-0 against the spread. The Saints will be without star wide receiver Michael Thomas again in Week 5, but that hasn’t stopped New Orleans from scoring points. Chargers are 3-1 against the spread and 1-3 against the Over/Under this season. Los Angeles Chargers vs New Orleans Saints, NFL, Mercedes-Benz Superdome . Los Angeles Chargers vs New Orleans Saints: Free Picks, Odds & Predictions. Pro bettors have also taken two cracks at the under throughout the week, driving the Chargers vs. Saints total down from 52 to 50.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Three weeks ago, the Bolts lost at home to defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City 23-20 in overtime but covered at +8.5. Tackle Bryan Bulaga (back) will miss his second game, and guard Trai Turner (groin) will miss his fourth. Two weeks ago, San Diego lost outright at home to Carolina 21-16 as a six-point favorite, even though they outgained the Panthers 436-302. San Diego (yes, we still call them "San Diego") fell behind 7-0 early, then scored the next 24 points of the game, including seven off a defensive pick-six, and took a 24-14 lead into halftime.
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